A PREDICTION MARKET
FOR EVERYTHING.
Predict crypto, memecoins, markets, sports, esports and real-world events. Pick a side. Make your prediction. Let the market decide.
- Markets live
- -
- Bet with
- SOL
- Smallest bet
- 0.01 SOL
- Fee
- 2% of pool
What the crowd thinks, right now.
Every market is a yes or no question with a live price. A 62 cent YES means the market gives it a 62% chance.
From a question to a payout.
Create
Anyone asks a question about something that will happen.
Join
Traders connect a wallet and add SOL.
Take positions
Put SOL on YES or NO. The market starts once both sides have a bettor.
Market develops
The pools show the crowd's live odds.
Event happens
The market closes and the real result is known.
Winners rewarded
Winners split the pool, paid to their balance automatically.
Anything that has an outcome.
See your payout before you bet.
Everyone on the winning side splits the whole pool in proportion to their stake, minus a 2% fee. The more that is bet against you, the more you can win.
A calculator only. Nothing is bet until you connect and place a bet.
A house forecaster that keeps score.
ORACLE makes its own calls on BTC, ETH, SOL and DOGE, writes them down before they happen and scores itself in public.
Real SOL. Paid out automatically.
Add, bet, withdraw
Add SOL from your wallet, bet on any market, and withdraw whenever you like, to the wallet you signed in with. Your balance is held by ORACLE's treasury and recorded on ORACLE. Only bet what you can afford to lose.
Checking the treasury...
Fair by design
There is no house on the other side: winners are paid from the losing side's SOL. If nobody takes the other side, or a market is voided, every bet is refunded in full with no fee.
Straight answers.
Is this real money?
Yes. You bet real SOL. When the site shows a DEVNET badge it is on a test network and the SOL has no value; without that badge it is real. Only bet what you can afford to lose.
When does a market start?
Once both sides have at least one bettor. Until then the odds show as waiting and you can cancel your bet. If one side is still empty when the market closes, everyone is refunded and no fee is taken.
How are payouts worked out?
All the SOL bet on both sides forms one pool. When the market resolves, the winning side splits the pool, minus a 2% fee, in proportion to how much each person bet. Winnings go to your ORACLE balance and you can withdraw them.
Who holds my SOL?
ORACLE's treasury wallet holds deposits, and your balance is recorded on ORACLE. You can withdraw to your wallet at any time. The treasury's on-chain balance is published next to what it owes, so you can check it is fully backed.
What are the fees?
2% of the pool, taken only when a market resolves with winners. There is no fee on refunds, deposits or withdrawals. You pay the tiny Solana network fee when you deposit, and ORACLE covers it when you withdraw.
Who decides the result?
Price markets on crypto and memecoins resolve themselves from the Coinbase price at the closing minute. For anything else, the market's creator resolves it after it closes and the rules say how. A market nobody resolves within a week is voided and everyone is refunded.
How are the odds set?
By the money itself. If 60% of the SOL in a market is on YES, the market says YES is 60% likely. The odds move with every bet.
What does connecting a wallet do?
You sign one free message that proves you own the address. Moving SOL is a separate step where your wallet asks you to approve one transfer. ORACLE can never take SOL from your wallet on its own.
Can I create my own market?
Yes. Ask any yes or no question, pick a category and a closing time, and describe how it resolves. You can create 5 a day.
Is there a token?
$ORACLE is the coin that goes with the project and is live on pump.fun. The markets work without it and nothing requires you to hold it.
Pick a side.
Connect a wallet, add SOL and make your first prediction.
$ORACLE
The coin launches on pump.fun soon. The contract address will appear here and nowhere else.